Hwenga, Elias.
Abstract:
Coffee prices reached their lowest levels in 30 years in 2001 (and in 100
years in real terms). In almost all coffee producing countries, such prices are
unable to cover production costs and have led to serious social and economic
problems, including increased poverty, indebtedness and abandonment of
coffee farms. The heavy reliance on coffee renders APC vulnerable to
markets downturns and to the competitive pressures that exist in the industry.
The coffee crisis has actually been "brewing" for some time now, but has
recently percolated as the reality of far reaching structural changes in global
coffee production and marketing are being recognized.
While there are strategies that could be taken by the coffee industry to
improve on the current situation, these are unlikely to result in a quick
recovery of world prices or farms' profitability. Coffee farmers face at least two
distinct sets of problems associated with prices; the outright price level and
volatility. Historically, coffee prices have been among the most volatile of all
commodity prices. Cyclical price volatility, particUlarly within the crop season,
can be managed through price risk management instruments. However, the
secular price trend requires other longer-term elements, such as
diversification or improvements in quality and productivity.
The paper concludes that debt within the financial structures of industry
players is a result of the crisis and to solve the coffee crisis strategies
focussed on raising and stabilizing incomes of coffee producers is the ultimate
goal and not increasing production statistics.